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PROFARM Neighborhood Advocates
Q4 2016 Stats (March 2017)

Greetings!

Florida Realtors® recently released the 2016 fourth quarter (October through December) real estate market statistics for the state. I wanted to give you an overview of how our area is performing.

The single family homes real estate markets in Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco Counties finished out strong in 2016. Median Sale Price continued to rise through the end of the year in all three counties. Closed Sales in Hillsborough County were up and held about even in Pinellas and Pasco. Pinellas rebounded from being down in Quarter 3 of 2016 year-over-year in Closed Sales.

Inventory has shrunk year-over-year for the fourth quarter in Pinellas and Pasco, but Hillsborough is finally showing signs of an increase in Active Listings (Inventory). Median Days to Contract was down in the Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco markets, though the year-over-year margin started to soften in the fourth quarter of 2016.

As your local Realtor® and Neighborhood Advocate, I am your resource for data that affects our communities and your property value. Homeownership affordability and accessibility is a cornerstone of the Realtor® advocacy efforts at every level – local, state and national.

Here are some highlights from the Florida Realtors® Quarter 4 2016 Statistics Release for the Single Family Home Market Segment:

  • Closed Sales: Slightly up for Pinellas County; up for Hillsborough County and down only slightly for Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. This statistic is a good indicator of the overall health of the market, and successful closed sales mean a win-win for both buyers and sellers.
  • Pinellas County: 3,351 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 3,271 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 2.4% increase
  • Hillsborough County: 4,641 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 4,225 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 9.8% increase
  • Pasco County: 2,335 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 2,340 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 0.2% decrease
  • Median Sale Price: Up for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half the homes sold for less.
  • Pinellas County: $218,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $185,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 17.6% increase
  • Hillsborough County: $225,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $205,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 9.8% increase
  • Pasco County: $185,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $160,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 15.6% increase
  • Inventory (Active Listings): Down for Pinellas County and Pasco County and up just slightly for Hillsborough County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. When inventory is low, there are fewer houses on the market and buyers are often competing for homes or have a tougher time finding a home that suits their exact needs. Flexibility, planning and preparation are key to being able to make an offer on a home when you do find what you’re looking for.
  • Pinellas County: 3,288 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 3,317 Active Listings Q4 2015, down 0.9%
  • Hillsborough County: 4,382 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 4,364 Active Listings Q4 2015, up 0.4%
  • Pasco County: 2,217 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 2,491 Active Listings Q4 2015, down 11.0%
  • Median Days to Contract: Down for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. The midpoint of the number of days it took for a property to receive a sales contract during that time. The faster a home goes to contract, the less time it is on the market for sale. Another good indicator for sellers and a tool for buyers to understand how to reach their goals in a hot market.
  • Pinellas County: 29 Days Q4 2016 vs. 31 Days Q4 2015, a 6.5% decrease
  • Hillsborough County: 32 Days Q4 2016 vs. 39 Days Q4 2015, a 17.9% decrease
  • Pasco County: 30 Days Q4 2016 vs. 41 Days Q4 2015, a 26.8% decrease

Please don’t hesitate to email me at AnnalisaWeller1@gmail.com or call me at 727-804-6566, if I can be of service. Thank you so much.
© 2017 Pinellas Realtor Organization

Americans love their personal space. A new study by Point2 Homes finds that U.S. homes provide the most space per person when considering house sizes across countries. Americans enjoy 45 percent more personal space than the Brits or the French and 70 percent more space than homeowners living in Spain.

However, Australia still nudges out America when it comes to actual home size. Americans have the second largest homes among the nine countries studied, coming in at 1,901 square feet. Australians boast the largest at 2,032 square feet.

Point2Homes surveyed 29,000 people across nine countries — the U.S., Canada, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Spain, Mexico, Brazil, and Australia. Though they’re living small, it seems Brits dream as big as their cousins down under. On average, respondents in the U.K., Australia, and Mexico identified a “good-size home” as one that contained more than 2,501 square feet. Americans settled on a smaller size to define this aspiration, between 1,501 and 2,000.

Source: “Home Sizes in the U.S.: Expectations vs. Reality,” Point2 Homes (Jan. 30, 2017)

 

According to CoreLogic, cash home sales in the U.S. accounted for 31.8 percent of total home sales in October 2016, down 2.7 percentage points year over year from October 2015. The cash sales share peaked in January 2011 when cash transactions accounted for 46.6 percent of total home sales nationally. Prior to the housing crisis, the cash sales share of total home sales averaged approximately 25 percent. If the cash sales share continues to fall at the same rate it did in October 2016, the share should hit 25 percent by mid-2018.

Fast FAQS

  • The national cash sales share was 31.8 percent in October 2016
  • The national distressed sales share fell 2.9 percentage points year over year from October 2015
  • The national distressed sales share fell in all but eight states

Real estate owned (REO) sales had the largest cash sales share in October 2016 at 59.2 percent. Resales had the next highest cash sales share at 31.7 percent, followed by short sales at 30.2 percent and newly constructed homes at 15.9 percent. While the percentage of REO sales within the all-cash category remained high, REO transactions have declined since peaking in January 2011.

National distressed sales share of total home sales, of which REO sales made up 5 percent and short sales made up 2.6 percent in October 2016. The distressed sales share of 7.7 percent in October 2016 was the lowest distressed sales share for any month since October 2007. At its peak in January 2009, distressed sales totaled 32.4 percent of all sales with REO sales representing 27.9 percent of that share. The pre-crisis share of distressed sales was traditionally about 2 percent. If the current year-over-year decrease in the distressed sales share continues, it will reach that “normal” 2-percent mark in mid-2018.

All but eight states recorded lower distressed sales shares in October 2016 compared with a year earlier. Maryland had the largest share of distressed sales of any state at 18.6 percent in October 2016, followed by Connecticut (18.3 percent), Michigan (17 percent), New Jersey (15.8 percent) and Illinois (14.7 percent). North Dakota had the smallest distressed sales share at 2.7 percent. While some states stand out as having high distressed sales shares, only North Dakota and the District of Columbia are close to their pre-crisis levels (each within one percentage point).

Alabama had the largest cash sales share of any state at 47.5 percent, followed by New York (44.5 percent), Indiana (41.8 percent), Florida (41.5 percent) and Missouri (38.8 percent).

Cash-Sales-SHare-by-Sale-Type-2017.jpg

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Cash-Sales-SHare-by-Sale-Type-2017-map.jpg
from  http://www.worldpropertyjournal.com/   By Michael Gerrity

Only ethnic demographic to increase homeownership rate

house key background

The homeownership rate for Hispanics increased in 2016, contrary to other ethnic groups, who all saw a decrease in homeownership.

from http://www.housingwire.com/articles/39132?sf55059658=1

The homeownership rate among Hispanics increased to 46% in 2016, up from 45.6% the year before, according to a report from the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau shows the overall homeownership rate dropped from 63.7% in 2015 to 63.4% in 2016. At the same time, the African-American rate also dipped from 43% to 42.2% and the Asian-American rate dropped from 56.5% to 55.5%.

Hispanics were the only ethnic demographic with an increase in their homeownership rate. Hispanics also led the nation in household formations with a net increase of 330,000 households in 2016.

The overall homeownership rate in the U.S. is currently hovering at the lowest level in 50 years. Hispanics broke the trend due to their high workforce participation rate, according to NAHREP’s report.

Also helping advance the growth is the increase of Hispanic entrepreneurs in mortgage banking and the real estate brokerage business.

“With credit remaining tight and limited housing inventory in several markets, these numbers are extremely encouraging and a testament to the economic resilience of the Hispanic community,” 2016 NAHREP President Joseph Nery said. “As the mortgage industry continues to recognize the exceptional opportunities in serving the Hispanic market and adjusts accordingly, we expect these numbers to only improve.”

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/39132?sf55059658=1  Kelsey Ramírez

NEW YORK – Feb. 8, 2017 – Women, on average, earn less than their male counterparts, but single females buy homes at more than twice the rate of men.

http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=1&id=348220

In 2016, single women accounted for 17 percent of homebuyers in the last year compared to just 7 percent of single men, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). The housing gender gap has existed for a while, but it continues to widen for a variety of reasons, according to Jessica Lautz, NAR’s managing director of survey research and communications.

For one, single women are more likely to be parenting on their own than single men; as such, they may be more likely to seek stable housing for their children. In 2011, there were 8.6 million single-mother households and only 2.6 million single-father households, according to the Pew Research Center.

“If you have children, it’s definitely going to play a role in where you’re thinking of living and how,” Lautz says. “And a mortgage can provide financial security. I think women, even with lower incomes, want a place where they can have roots and really own a place. The psychological desire to do that is great.”

And, despite cultural assumptions about women’s desire for marriage, single women without kids are more likely to be drawn to “singledom” lifestyles than men are, says Bella DePaulo, author of “Singled Out” and a professor at the University of California at Santa Barbara.

“Some research suggests that single women are especially unlikely to be lonely – again, contrary to our stereotypes,” DePaulo told Bloomberg. “Buying a home is a way of living your single life fully, rather than seeing your single years as just marking time until you find ‘the one.'”

The wage gap may still play a part in the house hunt, however. Single women tend to buy their first homes at an older age than men – 34 years old compared with 31, according to NAR research. They also tend to buy in a lower average price at a median $173,000 compared to $190,600.

http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=1&id=348220

Source: “Why Single Women Are Buying Homes at Twice the Rate of Single Men,” Bloomberg (Jan. 31, 2017)

© Copyright 2017 INFORMATION, INC. Bethesda, MD (301) 215-4688

Is This the Year to Move Up to Your Dream Home? If So, Do it Early | Keeping Current Matters

It appears that Americans are regaining faith in the U.S. economy. The following indexes have each shown a dramatic jump in consumer confidence in their latest surveys:

  1. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
  2. National Federation of Independent Businesses’ Small Business Optimism Index
  3. CNBC All-America Economic Survey
  4. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey

It usually means good news for the housing market when the country sees an optimistic future. People begin to dream again about the home their family has always wanted, and some make plans to finally make that dream come true.

If you are considering moving up to your dream home, it may be better to do it earlier in the year than later. The two components of your monthly mortgage payment (home prices and interest rates) are both projected to increase as the year moves forward, and interest rates may increase rather dramatically. Here are some predictions on where rates will be by the end of the year:

HSH.com:

“We think that conforming 30-year fixed rates probably make it into the4.625 percent to 4.75 percent range at some point during 2017 as a peak.”

Svenja Gudell, Zillow’s Chief Economist:

“I wouldn’t be surprised if the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 4.75 percent.”

Mark Fleming, the Chief Economist at First American:

“[I see] mortgage rates getting much closer to 5 percent at the end of next year.”

Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist:

“By this time next year, expect the 30-year fixed rate to likely be in the 4.5 percent to 5 percent range.”

Bottom Line

If you are feeling good about your family’s economic future and are considering making a move to your dream home, doing it sooner rather than later makes the most sense.

Agents, did you know you can share a personalized version of this post? Learn more!

 

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  Here is an overview of how our area is performing.
The single family homes real estate markets in Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco Counties are still looking very strong after the third quarter of 2016. Higher median sales prices, more closed sales, and faster time to contract are all good news for sellers.
Inventory has shrunk year-over-year for the second quarter. Median Days to Contract is down in the Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco markets, reflecting the short amount of time a home is on the market between being listed and being sold. All of this means fewer homes to choose from and a likelihood of more competition between buyers.
As your local Realtor® and Neighborhood Advocate, I am your resource for data that affects our communities and your property value. Homeownership affordability and accessibility is a cornerstone of the Realtor® advocacy efforts at every level – local, state and national.
Here are some highlights from the Florida Realtors® Quarter 3 2016 Statistics Release for the Single Family Home Market Segment:

  • Closed Sales: Slightly down for Pinellas County; up for Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 3 2016 from Quarter 3 2015. This statistic is a good indicator of the overall health of the market, and successful closed sales mean a win-win for both buyers and sellers.

o    Pinellas County: 3,709 Closed Sales Q3 2016 vs. 3,759 Closed Sales Q3 2015, a 1.3% decrease
o    Hillsborough County: 5,257 Closed Sales Q3 2016 vs. 4,928 Closed Sales Q3 2015, a 6.7% increase
o    Pasco County: 2,719 Closed Sales Q3 2016 vs. 2,648 Closed Sales Q3 2015, a 2.7% increase

  • Median Sale Price: Up for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 3 2016 from Quarter 3 2015. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half the homes sold for less.

o    Pinellas County: $219,900 Median Sale Price Q3 2016 vs. $186,000 Median Sale Price Q3 2015, an 18.2% increase
o    Hillsborough County: $224,045 Median Sale Price Q3 2016 vs. $202,000 Median Sale Price Q3 2015, a 10.9% increase
o    Pasco County: $185,000 Median Sale Price Q3 2016 vs. $157,500 Median Sale Price Q3 2015, a 17.5% increase

  • Inventory (Active Listings): Down for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 3 2016 from Quarter 3 2015. When inventory is low, there are fewer houses on the market and buyers are often competing for homes or have a tougher time finding a home that suits their exact needs. Flexibility, planning and preparation are key to being able to make an offer on a home when you do find what you’re looking for.

o    Pinellas County: 3,857 Active Listings Q3 2016 vs. 3,952 Active Listings Q3 2015, down 2.4%
o    Hillsborough County: 5,113 Active Listings Q3 2016 vs. 5,251 Active Listings Q3 2015, down 2.6%
o    Pasco County: 2,518 Active Listings Q3 2016 vs. 2,905 Active Listings Q3 2015, down 13.3%

  • Median Days to Contract: Down for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 3 2016 from Quarter 3 2015. The midpoint of the number of days it took for a property to receive a sales contract during that time. The faster a home goes to contract, the less time it is on the market for sale. Another good indicator for sellers and a tool for buyers to understand how to reach their goals in a hot market.

o    Pinellas County: 27 Days Q3 2016 vs. 32 Days Q3 2015, a 15.6% decrease
o    Hillsborough County: 29 Days Q3 2016 vs. 39 Days Q3 2015, a 25.6% decrease
o    Pasco County: 29 Days Q3 2016 vs. 43 Days Q3 2015, a 32.6% decrease

If you would like to discuss the market statistics further, or would like me to keep you informed, I would welcome the opportunity to provide monthly stats for you. Please don’t hesitate to email me at AnnalisaWeller1@gmail.com or call me at 727-804-6566 if I can be of service.

© 2016 Pinellas Realtor Organization

What: The National Association of REALTORS® 2016 Annual Conference and Expo
When: November 4-7, 2016
Where: Orange County Convention Center West, Orlando FL

Network with Realtors from across the USA and from around the world. Learn about the latest products, technologies and legal issues. Take classes. Be aware of the latest scams-protect yourself and your clients. Join in on meetings. Find out about the best marketing tools. What do buyers and sellers want these days in a home and in their agent? See what benefits NAR has for its members. Expand your mind and have fun!

Hope to see you there!

539 Baywood Dr S

Selling a home is a very complicated process-more complicated and costly than homeowners realize resulting lower sales prices, hidden fees and taking more time to sell. Sometimes homeowners can not fully understand reports that they have found on the Internet or the information that homeowners receive from well meaning friends & family may not be completely accurate, which can result in under pricing or over pricing their home. Sometimes homeowners are not aware of the latest changes in the law, which forms are now required or the time constraints required. Here are a few good reasons, For Sale By Owners should consider using a Realtor to represent them in the sale of their home.

1. For Sale By Owner (FSBO) homes generally sell for less

In 2015, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) report, FSBOs lost about 16% of the sales price with a median selling price of $210,000 (Realtor-assisted homes sold for $249,000). If the seller sold to someone that they knew, the median dropped to $151,900. 

  • Eighty-seven percent of buyers recently purchased their home through a real estate agent or broker.
  • Eighty-eight percent of buyers would use their agent again or recommend their agent to others.
  • Only eight percent (down from nine percent) of recent home sales were FSBO sales. This is the lowest share recorded since this report started in 1981.

Homeowners don’t realize how much time & effort it takes throughout the complicated process, may not understand market reports and don’t have the resources & connections to market the property properly-on the Internet & to other Realtors who may bring the buyer.

2. For Sale By Owners spend more time on the market

Unless the homeowner knows someone who wants to buy their home, FSBOs take longer to sell than homes listed with a Realtor. On average, 18% of For Sale By Owner homes were unable to sell within their expected time and took a year to sale.

3. Paperwork can be overwhelming

According to 2015 National Association of Realtors’ Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers finding & understanding all of the paperwork was one of the most difficult tasks for the sellers, especially without the guidance of a Realtor. Depending on the state, there are a many legal forms that are required, including but not limited to a sales contract, property disclosures, occupancy agreements and lead paint records. Also how the escrow must be held in their state.

4. Marketing is limited when owners sell their own home

For sale by owners have limited resources to market their homes. The 2015 NAR Profile of Buyers and Sellers showed 42 percent use only a yard sign, 32 percent rely on friends and family, and about 15 percent use social media. Even paying to just be on the MLS listing isn’t enough because it doesn’t go on real estate companies’ websites & their various Internet connections. It also is not sent out to other Realtors, offices or discussed at Realtor Networking events or at “pitch” sessions. These are just a few of the many resources that professionals have at their fingertips. 

5. Hidden costs can add up

Most For Sale By Owners’ first thought is about saving money. But they usually don’t realize they will be paying for a lot of extras: signs, flyers, photography, MLS listing, attorney (required in multiple states for FSBOs), home warranty (optional but hard to sell FSBO without one), home inspection, a wood destroying pest inspection, credit report for buyers (if applicable), contracts and the list goes on. The marketing costs are generally included in the Realtor’s commission.

6. Inspections can be problematic

Homeowners may not know which inspection companies are fully licensed & which inspections are required. Some states require a general home inspection, wind mitigation, 4 point and/or a wood destroying pest report. Homeowners who don’t know the rules may have unnecessary and costly repairs as well. A Realtor can advise & negotiate on the necessary repairs.

7. Liability is all on the seller

Everyone makes mistakes. A seller (or buyer) who doesn’t have the representation of a licensed agent pays for those mistakes. So if homeowner lists something as a feature and the buyer notices that this is incorrect, chances are the seller is going to pay for that mistake. A Listing Agent would have corrected the mistake before the home was listed. A Buyer’s Agent would have pointed out the mistake to the buyer, which could result in a lower price on the home.

8. Horrible as it sounds, scams can happen

Common scams include fraudulent papers (appraisals, loan documentation), fraudulent escrow deposit information, foreign buyer deposits (scammer sends too much in a bad check and then requests a refund), purchases through a third-party (a fake attorney, etc.) and asking for personal information to be used for identity theft.

9. Time costs the seller money

How much time does the homeowner plan to take to fully market the home? How much time does the homeowner plan to take off from work? Is the homeowner willing & able to answer calls from buyers at all times of the day & night? What will it cost & how much time will it take for an attorney to review the contract, if they choose one. How will the homeowner show the home, screen the buyers for safety, screen for qualified buyers, set up an escrow account, and maintain a marketing campaign? A For Sale By Owner home will take a homeowner a whole lot longer to sell. Homeowners don’t have the expertise or the access to the resources agents have.

 These are just some of the issues that For Sale By Owner must address but there may be more.Realtors can save sellers time, money, liability and hassle while guiding them through this ever-changing complicated process.

 

Annalisa Weller, Realtor®, Certified International Property Specialist

(727) 804-6566
AnnalisaWeller1@gmail.com

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