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Homeownership: “The Reports of My Death Have Been Greatly Exaggerated”

The famous quote by Mark Twain in the title of this article can be used to describe homeownership in America today. Last week, the Census revealed that the percentage of homeowners in the country increased for the first time in thirteen years

Homeownership: "The Reports of My Death Have Been Greatly Exaggerated" | Keeping Current Matters

story in the Wall Street Journal gave these new homeownership numbers some context:

“The annual increase marks a crucial turning point because it comes after the federal government reined in bubble-era policies that encouraged banks to ease lending standards to boost homeownership. This time, what’s driving the market is a shift in favor of owning rather than renting.

‘This is market, market and market…There’s no government incentive program in sight that is having this effect,’ said Susan Wachter, a professor of real estate and finance at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, ‘This is back to basics.’”

In a separate report comparing the rental population in America to the homeowner population, RentCaféalso concluded that the gap is now shrinking.

“Undoubtedly, the recession had a great impact on homeownership…However, it looks like it takes more to discourage Americans from buying a house than that.

As the years go by, it seems more and more certain that the fact that renting has seen a sudden gain in popularity is more a reaction to the economic crisis than a paradigm shift in the Americans’ attitude toward housing.”

America’s belief in homeownership was also evidenced in a recent survey by Pew Research. They asked consumers “How important is homeownership to achieving the American Dream?”

The results:

  • 43% said homeownership was essential to the American Dream
  • 48% said homeownership was important to the American Dream
  • Only 9% said it was not important

Bottom Line

Homeownership has been, is and will always be a crucial element of the American Dream.

*Pictured Above – Mark Twain’s home in Hartford, Connecticut.
from Keeping Current Matters
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According to ATTOM Data Solutions’ Q3 2017 Pre-Mover Housing Index, the U.S. housing markets with the highest pre-mover indices during the third quarter of 2017 — predictive of strong sales activity in the fourth quarter — were Colorado Springs, Colorado; Manchester-Nashua, New Hampshire; Chicago, Illinois; Washington, D.C.; and Nashville, Tennessee.

Residential News » Irvine Edition | By Monsef Rachid | December 12, 2017

The top five markets — among 123 total metro areas analyzed for the report — all posted a pre-mover index of 196 or higher. Other markets in the top 10 for highest pre-mover index in the third quarter were Reno, Nevada (189); Tampa-St. Petersburg, Florida (188); Las Vegas, Nevada (180); Jacksonville, Florida (179); and Kingsport-Bristol, Tennessee (178).

Among the same 123 metro areas analyzed for the report, those with the lowest pre-mover indices in the third quarter were Rochester, New York (35); Akron, Ohio (47); Myrtle Beach, South Carolina (47); Providence, Rhode Island (52); and Cleveland, Ohio (52).

“Markets that offer the best upward mobility potential both for prospective first time homebuyers as well as current homeowners who want to move up are those with the

“Home buyers are most likely to move — and homeowners are more likely to move up — in markets with plenty of available jobs along with a reasonable supply of homes for sale,” said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions. “Markets with this enviable and increasingly rare combination of jobs and housing inventory tend to be in secondary and even tertiary markets that are somewhat off the beaten path. Even in more mainstream markets, the counties with the highest pre-mover indices tend to be in outlying areas where more inventory is available or can be built.”

Top pre-mover counties post lower unemployment rates, slightly weaker wage growth

Out of 331 U.S. counties analyzed for the report, 213 posted a pre-mover index above the national average in the third quarter. The average September unemployment rate in those 213 counties was 3.8 percent, compared to an average unemployment rate of 4.2 percent in the 118 counties that posted a pre-mover index below the national average in the third quarter.

Weekly wages grew 6.4 percent from a year ago on average in the 213 counties with a Q3 2017 pre-mover index above the national average while average weekly wages grew 6.5 percent from a year ago on average in the counties with a Q3 2017 pre-mover index below the national average.

Highest share of second home pre-movers in Myrtle Beach, Asheville, Daytona Beach

Among 123 metropolitan statistical areas with at least 100,000 single family homes and condos and at least 100 pre-movers in Q3 2017, those with the highest share of pre-movers indicating interest in second home purchases were in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina (14.2 percent); Asheville, North Carolina (10.7 percent); Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Florida (10.3 percent); Atlantic City, New Jersey (9.6 percent); and Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Florida (9.4 percent).

Highest share of investment home pre-movers in Memphis, Jackson, Boulder

Among 123 metropolitan statistical areas with at least 100,000 single family homes and condos and at least 100 pre-movers in Q3 2017, those with the highest share of pre-movers interested in investment property purchases were Memphis, Tennessee (29.9 percent); Jackson, Mississippi (13.7 percent); Boulder, Colorado (12.6 percent); Indianapolis, Indiana (11.0 percent); and Kansas City, Missouri (9.2 percent).

Counties with highest and lowest pre-mover indices in Q3 2017

Among 331 U.S. counties with at least 50,000 single family homes and condos and at least 50 pre-movers in the third quarter, those with the highest pre-mover index were Loudon County, Virginia in the Washington, D.C. area (304); El Paso County, Colorado in the Colorado Springs metro area (300); Prince William County, Virginia in the Washington, D.C. metro area (298); Will County, Illinois in the Chicago metro area (298); and Champaign County, Illinois (258).

Among the 331 counties analyzed for the report, those with the lowest pre-mover index in Q3 2017 were Wayne County, Michigan in the Detroit metro area (32); Queens County, New York (37); San Mateo County, California in the San Francisco metro area (40); Monroe County, New York in the Rochester metro area (42); and Stark County, Ohio in the Canton metro area (44).

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PROFarm_3Qstats_postcard 2017 WEB (1)

 

PROFARM Neighborhood Advocates
Q3 2017 Stats (Nov. 2017)

Florida Realtors® recently released the 2017 quarter 3 real estate market statistics for the state. I wanted to be sure you had an overview of how our area is performing.

The Single Family Home and Townhome/Condo real estate markets in Pinellas County continue to thrive in the third quarter of 2017. Median Sale Price continued to rise in both segments. Closed Sales were down for Single Family for the first time in months. It’s highly possible that the hurricanes in September are the cause for this.

Median Sale Price for the third quarter was up for both Single Family and Townhome/Condo in Pinellas County. Median Days to Contract was down year-over-year for Q3 in both segments, meaning that properties are going to contract faster now than this time last year.

As your local REALTOR® and Neighborhood Advocate, I am your resource for data that affects our communities and your property value. Homeownership affordability and accessibility is a cornerstone of the REALTOR® advocacy efforts at every level – local, state and national.

Here are some highlights from the Florida Realtors® Quarter 3 2017 Statistics Release for Pinellas County for the Single Family Homes & Townhome/Condo Market Segments:

 

Closed Sales: Down for Pinellas County Single Family Homes and just slightly up for Townhome/Condo for Quarter 3 2017 from Quarter 3 2016. This statistic is a good indicator of the overall health of the market, and successful closed sales mean a win-win for both buyers and sellers.

  • Single Family Homes: 3,340 Closed Sales in Q3 2017 vs. 3,694 Closed Sales in Q3 2016, a 9.6% decrease
  • Townhome/Condo: 2,138 Closed Sales in Q3 2017 vs. 2,131 Closed Sales in Q3 2016, a 0.3% increase

 

Median Sale Price: Up for Pinellas County in both Single Family Homes and Townhome/Condo for Quarter 3 2017 from Quarter 3 2016. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half the homes sold for less.

  • Single Family Homes: $240,000 Median Sale Price in Q3 2017 vs. $220,000 Median Sale Price in Q3 2016, a 9.1% increase
  • Townhome/Condo: $152,750 Median Sale Price in Q3 2017 vs. $132,500 Median Sale Price in Q3 2016, an 15.3% increase

 

Inventory (Active Listings): Down for Pinellas County in both Single Family Homes and Townhome/Condo for Quarter 3 2017 from Quarter 3 2016. When inventory is low, there are fewer houses on the market and buyers are often competing for homes or have a tougher time finding a home that suits their exact needs. Flexibility, planning and preparation are key to being able to make an offer on a home when you do find what you’re looking for.

  • Single Family Homes: 3,027 Active Listings in Q3 2017 vs. 3,275 Active Listings in Q3 2016, a 7.6% decrease
  • Townhome/Condo: 2,097 Active Listings in Q3 2017 vs. 2,410 Active Listings in Q3 2016, a 13% decrease

 

Median Days to Contract: Down for Pinellas County for Single Family and Townhome/Condo for Quarter 3 2017 from Quarter 3 2016. The midpoint of the number of days it took for a property to receive a sales contract during that time. The faster a home goes to contract, the less time it is on the market for sale. This statistic is another good indicator for sellers and a tool for buyers to understand how to reach their goals in a hot market.

  • Single Family Homes: 22 Median Days to Contract in Q3 2017 vs. 27 Median Days to Contract in Q3 2016, an 18.5% decrease
  • Townhome/Condo: 34 Median Days to Contract in Q3 2017 vs. 41 Median Days to Contract in Q3 2016, a 17.1% decrease

 

If you would like to discuss the market statistics further, or would like me to keep you informed, I would welcome the opportunity to provide monthly stats for you. Please don’t hesitate to email me at AnnalisaWeller1@gmail.com or call me at 727-804-6566 if I can be of service. Thank you so much!
© 2017 Pinellas Realtor Organization

Technological change will determine which cities will outperform, Cushman & Wakefield says

New York was the most sought-after market for real estate investment, according to the survey.
New York was the most sought-after market for real estate investment, according to the survey.

Global property investment rose by 4% in the year to June to $1.5 trillion, reflecting improved sentiment in 2017, Cushman & Wakefield reported Thursday.

from:http://www.thinkadvisor.com/2017/10/12/us-dominates-global-cities-for-real-estate-investm?&slreturn=1508455425

According to the firm’s annual survey of global commercial real estate investment activity, high interest from regional buyers drove growth.

It said the economic background for real estate was now more encouraging than many analysts had anticipated, with the International Monetary Fund having raised global growth forecasts for the first time since 2011.

The U.S. dominated the survey’s ranking of global cities for investment, but Asian markets made the most impressive gains in the past year.

2017 Top Cross Border Investors

Out of the 150 most populous cities, these 25 got (mostly) high marks from WalletHub in four categories.

Thanks to increased interest in buying land for development, Asian markets grew by 24.6%. By comparison, European and North American markets experienced declines of 11% and 7.5%.

Although the top 25 gateway cities in the survey declined by 120 basis points, they remained dominant with nearly 50% of the market. Half the cities in the top 10 underwent volume declines over the past year; now the 10 cities represent just 29.5% of total volumes, down from 32.9%.

New York maintained its position as the most sought-after market for the sixth consecutive year, according to the survey. The other cities in the top 10 were Los Angeles, San Francisco, London, Dallas, Paris, Washington, Hong Kong, Atlanta and Shanghai.

London saw volumes fall by 25%, and was bumped from the top three by San Francisco, while number nine Atlanta displaced Tokyo, which fell to number 11.

London continued as the most attractive city for international investors, but several German cities rose in the rankings: Berlin to number five and Frankfurt to number seven. Number two New York and number three Paris were popular rivals to the British capital. Athens real estate reached a 10 year peak.

The survey found that sector concentration was highest in the office sector, with 61% of all office transactions occurring in the top 25 cities. Multifamily followed, with 49% of volumes in the gateway cities.

The report said a key factor determining which cities would outperform was technological change. Developments such as virtual reality and big data will enable more rapid change, and will start shaping cities and tenant demand within months rather than years.

It said cities will need to be able to adopt smart designs in buildings and infrastructure, and have a strong focus on their target audience of talent and businesses.

Four things will facilitate this process, according to the report:

  • City connectivity, as the importance of linking families and businesses across borders grows
  • Supportive governance with integrated strategies
  • The size and quality of a city’s institutions
  • Access to services, healthy living and cultural appeal

 

http://www.thinkadvisor.com/2017/10/12/us-dominates-global-cities-for-real-estate-investm?&slreturn=1508455425

 

Alexandra Nikos Sekouri , President of the Hellenic Association of Realtors, was Pinellas International Council’s guest speaker via Skype on Wednesday. She gave an excellent and very informative presentation on Greece & the real estate process. Thanks to our Pinellas Realtor Affiliate Business Partner sponsors who providing us with international appetizers and wine, the 25 PIC members and guests and, of course,  Alexandra Nikos Sekouri!!

 

 

PROFarm_4Qstats_postcard

 

PROFARM Neighborhood Advocates
Q4 2016 Stats (March 2017)

Greetings!

Florida Realtors® recently released the 2016 fourth quarter (October through December) real estate market statistics for the state. I wanted to give you an overview of how our area is performing.

The single family homes real estate markets in Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco Counties finished out strong in 2016. Median Sale Price continued to rise through the end of the year in all three counties. Closed Sales in Hillsborough County were up and held about even in Pinellas and Pasco. Pinellas rebounded from being down in Quarter 3 of 2016 year-over-year in Closed Sales.

Inventory has shrunk year-over-year for the fourth quarter in Pinellas and Pasco, but Hillsborough is finally showing signs of an increase in Active Listings (Inventory). Median Days to Contract was down in the Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco markets, though the year-over-year margin started to soften in the fourth quarter of 2016.

As your local Realtor® and Neighborhood Advocate, I am your resource for data that affects our communities and your property value. Homeownership affordability and accessibility is a cornerstone of the Realtor® advocacy efforts at every level – local, state and national.

Here are some highlights from the Florida Realtors® Quarter 4 2016 Statistics Release for the Single Family Home Market Segment:

  • Closed Sales: Slightly up for Pinellas County; up for Hillsborough County and down only slightly for Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. This statistic is a good indicator of the overall health of the market, and successful closed sales mean a win-win for both buyers and sellers.
  • Pinellas County: 3,351 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 3,271 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 2.4% increase
  • Hillsborough County: 4,641 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 4,225 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 9.8% increase
  • Pasco County: 2,335 Closed Sales Q4 2016 vs. 2,340 Closed Sales Q4 2015, a 0.2% decrease
  • Median Sale Price: Up for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half the homes sold for less.
  • Pinellas County: $218,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $185,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 17.6% increase
  • Hillsborough County: $225,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $205,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 9.8% increase
  • Pasco County: $185,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2016 vs. $160,000 Median Sale Price Q4 2015, a 15.6% increase
  • Inventory (Active Listings): Down for Pinellas County and Pasco County and up just slightly for Hillsborough County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. When inventory is low, there are fewer houses on the market and buyers are often competing for homes or have a tougher time finding a home that suits their exact needs. Flexibility, planning and preparation are key to being able to make an offer on a home when you do find what you’re looking for.
  • Pinellas County: 3,288 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 3,317 Active Listings Q4 2015, down 0.9%
  • Hillsborough County: 4,382 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 4,364 Active Listings Q4 2015, up 0.4%
  • Pasco County: 2,217 Active Listings Q4 2016 vs. 2,491 Active Listings Q4 2015, down 11.0%
  • Median Days to Contract: Down for Pinellas County, Hillsborough County and Pasco County for Quarter 4 2016 from Quarter 4 2015. The midpoint of the number of days it took for a property to receive a sales contract during that time. The faster a home goes to contract, the less time it is on the market for sale. Another good indicator for sellers and a tool for buyers to understand how to reach their goals in a hot market.
  • Pinellas County: 29 Days Q4 2016 vs. 31 Days Q4 2015, a 6.5% decrease
  • Hillsborough County: 32 Days Q4 2016 vs. 39 Days Q4 2015, a 17.9% decrease
  • Pasco County: 30 Days Q4 2016 vs. 41 Days Q4 2015, a 26.8% decrease

Please don’t hesitate to email me at AnnalisaWeller1@gmail.com or call me at 727-804-6566, if I can be of service. Thank you so much.
© 2017 Pinellas Realtor Organization

Americans love their personal space. A new study by Point2 Homes finds that U.S. homes provide the most space per person when considering house sizes across countries. Americans enjoy 45 percent more personal space than the Brits or the French and 70 percent more space than homeowners living in Spain.

However, Australia still nudges out America when it comes to actual home size. Americans have the second largest homes among the nine countries studied, coming in at 1,901 square feet. Australians boast the largest at 2,032 square feet.

Point2Homes surveyed 29,000 people across nine countries — the U.S., Canada, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Spain, Mexico, Brazil, and Australia. Though they’re living small, it seems Brits dream as big as their cousins down under. On average, respondents in the U.K., Australia, and Mexico identified a “good-size home” as one that contained more than 2,501 square feet. Americans settled on a smaller size to define this aspiration, between 1,501 and 2,000.

Source: “Home Sizes in the U.S.: Expectations vs. Reality,” Point2 Homes (Jan. 30, 2017)

 

According to CoreLogic, cash home sales in the U.S. accounted for 31.8 percent of total home sales in October 2016, down 2.7 percentage points year over year from October 2015. The cash sales share peaked in January 2011 when cash transactions accounted for 46.6 percent of total home sales nationally. Prior to the housing crisis, the cash sales share of total home sales averaged approximately 25 percent. If the cash sales share continues to fall at the same rate it did in October 2016, the share should hit 25 percent by mid-2018.

Fast FAQS

  • The national cash sales share was 31.8 percent in October 2016
  • The national distressed sales share fell 2.9 percentage points year over year from October 2015
  • The national distressed sales share fell in all but eight states

Real estate owned (REO) sales had the largest cash sales share in October 2016 at 59.2 percent. Resales had the next highest cash sales share at 31.7 percent, followed by short sales at 30.2 percent and newly constructed homes at 15.9 percent. While the percentage of REO sales within the all-cash category remained high, REO transactions have declined since peaking in January 2011.

National distressed sales share of total home sales, of which REO sales made up 5 percent and short sales made up 2.6 percent in October 2016. The distressed sales share of 7.7 percent in October 2016 was the lowest distressed sales share for any month since October 2007. At its peak in January 2009, distressed sales totaled 32.4 percent of all sales with REO sales representing 27.9 percent of that share. The pre-crisis share of distressed sales was traditionally about 2 percent. If the current year-over-year decrease in the distressed sales share continues, it will reach that “normal” 2-percent mark in mid-2018.

All but eight states recorded lower distressed sales shares in October 2016 compared with a year earlier. Maryland had the largest share of distressed sales of any state at 18.6 percent in October 2016, followed by Connecticut (18.3 percent), Michigan (17 percent), New Jersey (15.8 percent) and Illinois (14.7 percent). North Dakota had the smallest distressed sales share at 2.7 percent. While some states stand out as having high distressed sales shares, only North Dakota and the District of Columbia are close to their pre-crisis levels (each within one percentage point).

Alabama had the largest cash sales share of any state at 47.5 percent, followed by New York (44.5 percent), Indiana (41.8 percent), Florida (41.5 percent) and Missouri (38.8 percent).

Cash-Sales-SHare-by-Sale-Type-2017.jpg

Distressed-Sales-as-Percentage-of-Total-Sales-2017.jpg

Cash-Sales-SHare-by-Sale-Type-2017-map.jpg
from  http://www.worldpropertyjournal.com/   By Michael Gerrity

Only ethnic demographic to increase homeownership rate

house key background

The homeownership rate for Hispanics increased in 2016, contrary to other ethnic groups, who all saw a decrease in homeownership.

from http://www.housingwire.com/articles/39132?sf55059658=1

The homeownership rate among Hispanics increased to 46% in 2016, up from 45.6% the year before, according to a report from the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau shows the overall homeownership rate dropped from 63.7% in 2015 to 63.4% in 2016. At the same time, the African-American rate also dipped from 43% to 42.2% and the Asian-American rate dropped from 56.5% to 55.5%.

Hispanics were the only ethnic demographic with an increase in their homeownership rate. Hispanics also led the nation in household formations with a net increase of 330,000 households in 2016.

The overall homeownership rate in the U.S. is currently hovering at the lowest level in 50 years. Hispanics broke the trend due to their high workforce participation rate, according to NAHREP’s report.

Also helping advance the growth is the increase of Hispanic entrepreneurs in mortgage banking and the real estate brokerage business.

“With credit remaining tight and limited housing inventory in several markets, these numbers are extremely encouraging and a testament to the economic resilience of the Hispanic community,” 2016 NAHREP President Joseph Nery said. “As the mortgage industry continues to recognize the exceptional opportunities in serving the Hispanic market and adjusts accordingly, we expect these numbers to only improve.”

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/39132?sf55059658=1  Kelsey Ramírez

NEW YORK – Feb. 8, 2017 – Women, on average, earn less than their male counterparts, but single females buy homes at more than twice the rate of men.

http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=1&id=348220

In 2016, single women accounted for 17 percent of homebuyers in the last year compared to just 7 percent of single men, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). The housing gender gap has existed for a while, but it continues to widen for a variety of reasons, according to Jessica Lautz, NAR’s managing director of survey research and communications.

For one, single women are more likely to be parenting on their own than single men; as such, they may be more likely to seek stable housing for their children. In 2011, there were 8.6 million single-mother households and only 2.6 million single-father households, according to the Pew Research Center.

“If you have children, it’s definitely going to play a role in where you’re thinking of living and how,” Lautz says. “And a mortgage can provide financial security. I think women, even with lower incomes, want a place where they can have roots and really own a place. The psychological desire to do that is great.”

And, despite cultural assumptions about women’s desire for marriage, single women without kids are more likely to be drawn to “singledom” lifestyles than men are, says Bella DePaulo, author of “Singled Out” and a professor at the University of California at Santa Barbara.

“Some research suggests that single women are especially unlikely to be lonely – again, contrary to our stereotypes,” DePaulo told Bloomberg. “Buying a home is a way of living your single life fully, rather than seeing your single years as just marking time until you find ‘the one.'”

The wage gap may still play a part in the house hunt, however. Single women tend to buy their first homes at an older age than men – 34 years old compared with 31, according to NAR research. They also tend to buy in a lower average price at a median $173,000 compared to $190,600.

http://www.floridarealtors.org/NewsAndEvents/article.cfm?p=1&id=348220

Source: “Why Single Women Are Buying Homes at Twice the Rate of Single Men,” Bloomberg (Jan. 31, 2017)

© Copyright 2017 INFORMATION, INC. Bethesda, MD (301) 215-4688

Annalisa Weller, Realtor®, Certified International Property Specialist

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